Agenda Overview

A. Investing in Conventional Oil and Gas in a Peak Oil World
This session will be moderated by Leslie Haines, editor of Oil and Gas Investor, and will include brief presentations by panelists (Marshall Adkins of Raymond James Financial, John Olson of Sanders Morris Harris, and Jim Baldauf of ASPO-USA) with extensive audience interaction.

B. The Oil Drum on Ghawar and Saudi Arabia
This session will present perspectives on recent and future Saudi production, featuring presentations for The Oil Drum by Stuart Staniford and Euan Mearns, moderated by Gail Tverberg (TOD).

A. Investing in Unconventional Oil and Substitute Fuels in a Peak Oil World
Brief presentations by panelists Keith Behrens of Energy Capital Solutions, Dick Vodra and Jim Hansen, financial planners and ASPO-USA members with extensive audience interaction.

B. World Energy Modeling Study: presentation and discussion, led by Dick Lawrence, ASPO-USA co-founder
Updating the Energy Return on Invested (EROI) inputs to Millennium Institute’s model, plus modeling results to date.Comments by moderator Dick Lawrence (ASPO-USA), Andrea Bassi (Millennium Institute), Professor Charlie Hall (State University of New York) and two SUNY students.

Peak Oil: Some Views from Europe
Author/film maker David Strahan (UK) will share how views in Europe differ from those in the United States. Norwegian Aage Figenschou, Simmons & Co director in the oil and gas sector, will provide an IEA review plus some remarks about changing views from France's petroleum institute.

Welcome from conference co-hosts ASPO-USA (Jim Baldauf, Co-founder and Conference Chair; Steve Andrews, Co-founder), City of Houston (TBD), and University of Houston (TBD).

8:20-8:50
A Peak Oil Overview
Robert L. Hirsch, Energy Consultant, SAIC; Co-Author of groundbreaking report on peak oil to US Dept. of Energy
Peak Oil: Exploring the Risk Factor

8:50-9:20
Chris Skrebowski, Energy Institute in London, Editor of Petroleum Review
Megaprojects Update: What We're Pretty Sure is Coming

9:20-9:40
Question & Answer
Audience’s questions answered by speakers.

10:00-10:30
Richard Nehring, President, Nehring Associates
Delayed vs. Imminent Peakers: Conceptual and Empirical Questions Regarding Reserves Growth

10:30-11:00
Jeremy Gilbert, Managing Director of Barrelmore Ltd.; former Chief Petroleum Engineer, BP
The Devil is in the Data

11:00-11:20
Question and Answer
Audience’s questions answered by speakers.

George Baker, publisher of Mexico Energy Intelligence
Peak Oil in Mexico: Outlook to 2015

Vince Matthews, Colorado State Geologist
Oil, Minerals and the China Syndrome

12:20-12:30
Two ASPO-USA Awards will be presented.

12:30-1:00
Lunchtime Speaker
Matthew R. Simmons (Chairman, Simmons & Co., Int'l)
Gauging Risks of Peak Oil and Gas: Limits to Growth

1:00-1:15
Question & Answer
Audience’s questions answered by speakers.

1:30-2:00
Tom Petrie,
A Strategic Perspective on 21st Century Energy Challenges

2:00-2:15
Question and Answer
Audience’s questions answered by speaker.

2:15-2:40
Claire Farley, co-president of Jeffries Randall & Dewey
How the Game is Changing

2:40-2:55
Jeffrey Brown, independent petroleum geologist
The Exporters' Dilemma: Rising Domestic Consumption and Flat or Falling Production

2:55-3:10
Question and Answer
Audience’s questions answered by speakers.

3:40-4:05
David Hughes, Canadian Geological Survey
Natural Gas and Coal: Some Challenging Facts

4:00-4:25
Scott Pugh, Captain US Navy (Ret.), Dept. of Homeland Security, Science and Technology Dept.
Nuclear Power: Pros, Cons, and the Efficiency Card

4:25-4:50
Dr. Kyriacos Zygourakis, A.J. Hartsook Professor and Department Chair, Chemical & Biomolecular Engineering
How Good is Our Bet on Biofuels?

4:50-5:05
Question and Answer
Audience’s questions answered by speakers.

Tom Whipple, CIA Analyst (Ret.), Editor: Virginia Politics, Peak Oil Review and Peak Oil News
Update: Peak Oil and the Media

Conference "guest responder" will offer comments. Hosts preview the evening and Friday, and adjourn.

Please join us for hors d'oeuvres and cash bar.

Moderator: Robert L. Hirsch
Richard Nehring (President of Nehring Associates), Jeremy Gilbert (ASPO-Global), Mark Gaffigan (US GAO), Mariano Gurfinkel (University of Texas Jackson School of GeoSciences), Randy Udall (ASPO-USA) and Roger Bezdek (CEO, MISI) will join in an informed dialogue concerning different perspectives on Peak Oil.

8:00-8:35
Peter Tertzakian, author of "A Thousand Barrels a Second"
Exploring the Impact of Resource Constraints

8:35-8:45
Question and Answer
Audience’s questions answered by speaker.

Roger Bezdek, Co-Author, Hirsch Report, the first public report about Peak Oil commissioned by the US Government
Aviation after Peak Oil

Alan Drake, Consulting Engineer
Rail in a Peak Oil World

Justin Ward (invited for Bill Reinert), Toyota Motor Sales, USA
Plug-in hybrid technology update

Question and Answer
Audience’s questions answered by speakers.

Our Panel:

John Kaufmann, Dept. of Energy (OR)
Summary from the Portland Peak Oil Task Force

Roger Duncan, Deputy Director, Austin Energy
The View From a Municipal Utility

Debbie Cook, Huntington Beach (CA) City Council and Mayor Pro Tem
Summary From Southern California Association of Governments

Mary Margaret Whipple, Senator, Virginia State Senate
Options at the State Level

Roscoe Bartlett, US Congressional Representative, State of Maryland,
United States House of Representatives (AV presentation)

Elizabeth Ames Jones, Chairman, Texas Railroad Commission
Texas Production History and Revenues From Oil and Gas

The Panel Discussion will be followed by a Question and Answer period.

12:20 - 12:30
Two more ASPO-USA awards will be presented.

12:30-1:10
Lunchtime Speaker
Bill White, Mayor of Houston

1:10-1:45
Question and Answer
Q&A to the Policy Panel and the Mayor.

Dr. Peter Bishop, University of Houston, Future Studies Department

Seth Itzkan, Futurist/Analyst, Planet-TECH Associates

Dr. Bishop and Mr. Itzkan will explore "Houston After Peak Oil Scenarios."

T. Boone Pickens / Interview / Roundtable

Charles T. Maxwell, Senior Energy Analyst, Weeden & Co.
Introductory comments, then round-table with T. Boone Pickens, Founder, BP Capital Management, L.P.

Maxwell and Pickens are later joined by Henry Groppe for an interactive questions session.

Conference "guest responder" will offer comments. Hosts preview the evening and Saturday.

Peak Oil and Climate Change: Examining the Interactions
Join Dr. David Rutledge, California Institute of Technology, and Dr. Pushker Kharecha, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, for a discussion of the implications of Peak Oil on the world climate.

Three concurrent sessions that provide more opportunity for exchange between panelists and attendees in a smaller-group setting:

1. Smart Money and Peak Oil -- a discussion with a panel of experts, including Charles T. Maxwell, about investing in conventional, unconventional and alternative energy sources in a peak oil world.  (This is the Wednesday afternoon session, but keynoted by Charles Maxwell with repeat appearances by financial planners and ASPO-USA members Dick Vodra and Jim Hansen, and ASPO-USA's Jim Baldauf.) Leslie Haines, Editor of Oil and Gas Investor, will moderate.

2. Local and regional policy planning (transportation, coordination with state and feds; learning from the Portland Peak Oil Task Force case study)
Debbie Cook, ASPO-USA; Jennifer Sarnecki, Senior Planner, Southern California Association of Governments; John Kaufmann, OR Dept. of Energy; Daniel Lerch, Post Carbon Institute; and others.

3. Scenarions Planning and Communication Strategies for Introducing Peak Oil to Businesspeople, Politicians, Students and the General Public: Scenario Planning, Tool Development, and more. With Sally Odland, Tom Whipple, Dick Lawrence—all ASPO-USA; Gail Tverberg, The Oil Drum, and others.